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Hard disk drives (HDDs)

Will Hard Disks Get Faster?
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Recovering Data from Drowned / Flooded Hard Drives
How many disks does it take to store a disk-full of data?
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SSDs replacing HDDs? - that's not exactly the way it happened
Magnetic Data Storage - 1940's to 1990's by an IBM alumni (pdf)
"Although we'll be saying goodbye to the hard drive in
datacenters in the next 5 years - HDDs will continue to
offer good value as entertainment content storage in
consumer products till the end of the decade."
Zsolt Kerekes, editor
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Megabyte discovered that a magnet could come in really handy for a hungry explorer
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hdd / hard disk drive news
the top SSD companies in Q4 2011

Editor:- January 20, 2012 - StorageSearch.com today published the new 19th quarterly edition of - the Top 20 SSD Companies List.

As I said to a couple of people yesterday - "In an uncertain and disruptive market like SSDs - if you're looking to shortlist partners, suppliers and investments - there's safety in numbers."

It's a good initial filter and starting point. I've always found it very useful and that's why I decided to share the list with readers back in 2007 when there were only 55 companies in the SSD market. Today I talk to over 300 SSD companies. You probably have better things to do with your time. ...read the article


HDD warranties to be cut

Editor:- December 20, 2011 - The warranties offered on many new hard drives will be reduced next year - according to an article in TomsHardware.

In a duopolistic market there's no need to make claims which are any better than they need to be. The regulators should have seen this coming.


Seagate seeks $0.5 billion from WD

Editor:- November 21, 2011 - Seagate has been awarded $525 million in a recent arbitration decision against WD.

"We do not believe there is any basis in law or fact for the damage award of the arbitrator," said John Coyne, WD's president and CEO. "...We will vigorously challenge the award."


HDD price hikes will help SSDs, compression and dedupe

Editor:- November 9, 2011 - lots of people are writing about recent HDD price escalations.

One reader in the storage software market pointed me towards a blog written by his company - will prices of hard disks reach absurd levels?

Here's what I said...

As you may have seen our editorial view is that all hard disk storage will get replaced by solid state in the 2016 to 2020 timeframe – so we stopped coverage of HDD stories a few years ago, except where they exemplify the SSD transition narrative.

This (below) is what I said to another reader yesterday re HDD shortages.

It will mainly affect consumers – so they may have to buy something different for Christmas.

In reality it won't change anything in the enterprise market.

Even if 100% of HDD production stopped for 3 months – it would encourage users to look at the utilization rates of their storage – and dedupe, compression and SSD would look more attractive.


(which) SSD Makers Benefit From Thailand Flood ?

Editor:- November 4, 2011 - a blog on SeekingAlpha.com written by Dana Blankenhorn - discusses which SSD makers could benefit in the short term from HDD shortages.

Editor's comments:- In my view Dana Blankenhorn is correct to suggest it will be small form factor / notebook SSD makers.

3 weeks ago - when WD and Seagate alerted the market to this potential supply problems in hard disks - I said - something along the lines of - "let them eat cake" - referring to oems who may have to use SSDs instead.

I doubt whether the volume of SSDs that switch sooner into HDD slots will make a big difference to any SSD maker's profit in the next few months - but it could increase the urgency of some SSD qualification programs.

The big market for SSDs in 2012 will be in the enterprise - where the shortage of HDDs will make absolutely no difference - because HDDs were already on the hit list.


Marie Antoinette never said this

Editor:- October 12, 2011 - "Let them eat cake" said Marie Antoinette - on hearing that bakers in pre-revolutionary France had run out of the right type of flour to make bread.

If she were alive today and had shares in pure play SSD companies (instead of a market tracker which oddly mixes in HDD makers too) then on hearing the news that severe flooding in Thailand has impacted WD's hard drive production - which might lead some people in the HDD supply chain to fret about where their next drives will come from - she might retort - "Let them use SSDs instead!"

The Marie Antoinette quote isn't strictly true. And neither is the idea that - SSDs will directly replace hard drives.

What is true is that WD did issue guidance on the flooding impact today and most importantly said "The company is gratified to report that its approximately 37,000 Thailand-based employees are deemed safe at this time."

...Later today:- Seagate - whose HDD production is also affected said - "This devastating natural disaster has tragically taken hundreds of lives and displaced many families. At this time, Seagate reports that all of its employees in the region are safe."


the true cost of hard drive vulnerabilities

Editor:- August 23, 2011 - the problems caused by sand blowing into hard drives in the context of a desert war - is the subject of a recent blog by Mark Flournoy, VP of Government & Defense at STEC.

Among other things this article shows the consequences of data storage failures. It's the best blog I've seen so far on STEC's previously anemic SSD blog site. ...read the article - I wish I had an SSD in Iraq. See also:- fast purge SSDs


Pushing data reliability up hard drive hill

Editor:- July 4, 2011 - Why didn't hard drives get more reliable? Enterprise users are still replacing hard drives according to cycles that have haven't changed much since RAID became common in the 1990s. So why didn't HDD makers do something to make their drives better?

Error correction code inventor Phil White - founder of ECC Technologies has recently published a rant / blog in which he describes the 25 years of rejections he's had from leading HDD makers - and the reaons they said they didn't want to use his patented algorithm - which he says could increase data integrity and the life of hard drives (and maybe SSDs too.) It makes interesting reading for any other wannabe inventors out there too. ...read Phil White's article

But I think another reason for past rejections might simply have been market economics.

The capacity versus the cost of HDDs has improved so much throughout that period - and at the same time data capacity needs have grown - maybe the user value proposition didn't make sense.

If you (RAID user) find that all your 5 year old drives are still working (instead of being replaced) - how much is that really worth? By now those 5 year old drives might only represent 3% to 10% of the new storage capacity you need anyway. (The reliability value proposition is different outside service engineer frequented zone - but I don't want to get side-tracked into SSD market models here.)

Looking ahead at the future of the HDD market my own view is that whatever the industry does with respect to reliability won't tip the balance against SSDs in the enterprise.

The best bet for the future of hard drive makers is in consumer products where fashion ranks higher up the reason to buy list than longevity. Most people I know replace their notebook pcs, tvs and phones not because the old ones have stopped working - but because the new ones have lifestyle features which make them more desirable.


the missing link?

software which sits between hard drives and SSDs


Editor:- July 1, 2011 - earlier this week I spent an interesting hour talking to FlashSoft's CEO - Ted Sanford about the company's business plans and technology.

The company recently launched software which enables almost any SSD to act as a cache accelerator front end for hard disk storage arrays in enterprise servers. By automatically learning data hot spots as little as 15 minutes after being installed - the new software speeds up SQL queries for example 4x - and enables users to use less servers. ...read more


WD's acquisition of Hitachi GST on track for Q4

Editor:- May 30, 2011 - Western Digital today announced its proposed acquisition of Hitachi GST is progressing through EU anti competition review processes and is anticipated to close in the 4th quarter of 2011.


Lortu announces 20TB virtual hard drive

Editor:- May 17, 2011 - Lortu today unveiled the LDA-Mini - a small form factor HDD backup appliance with upto 20TB of virtual capacity - with internal dedupe - with MSRP of 680 euros.
image shows Lortu backup
Editor's comments:- in my 2010 article - this way to the Petabyte SSD - I explained that one of my assumptions was that designers would start to put dedupe, compression and library management features inside SSDs. Although Lortu's product is aimed at the HDD market - it's one step along the way to a new class of bulk storage devices.

Authorized Data Recovery comes to SSDs

Editor:- May 9, 2011 - one of the arguments for choosing hard drives in a low capacity notebook has been that if anything went wrong with the disk and there was no effective backup - then the data recovery industry has been better able to to perform recoveries on HDDs than SSDs.

Although specialist flash DR companies have reverse analyzed some SSD controller algorithms - it's still been difficult or impossible to recover most SSD designs without the support of the original manufacturer.

Recently SandForce - whose controllers are used by about 30 SSD makers announced its first partnership with a DR company. I'm sure that many more SSD companies who sell into the consumer market will follow this lead.

Recoverability is less important in enterprise SSD markets because configurations are usually designed to be fault tolerant - and the data is replicated more frequently.


Samsung exits shrinking HDD market

Editor:- April 19, 2011 - One alternative way of looking at Seagate is as one of the world's leading storage market analysts - when it comes to the subject of hard drives.

In this unsung role Seagate today published a report (pdf) - which among other things includes this useful total market size info - related to the most recent quarter.
  • enterprise HDD market - 13.8 million units - (up 10% year on year)
  • client HDD market - 115 million units - (down 7% year on year)
The company also reported that its revenue had declined 11% year on year and that it has entered into an agreement to buy Samsung's HDD business for $1.375 billion.

Samsung will supply NAND flash to Seagate's SSD products (no surprise there as Samsung is a strategic supplier to countless SSD companies already) and Seagate will supply hard drives for Samsung's PCs and notebooks (no surprise there either as Samsung was probably the biggest customer of its own HDDs).

Exiting the hard drive business is a no-brainer for Samsung who within the next 5 - 9 years must transition its entire memory business over to SSDs when the SSD market is big enough.

I'm not sentimental about the end of hard drives - having written enough articles about that subject already.

Robin Harris has written a nice article which brings the HDD oem headcount (pun intended) into historical context.

...Later:- April 20, 2011 - Western Digital also reported a year on year decline in revenue for the recent quarter (15%).

So you may well ask - what happened to the great 2011 for HDD revenue that both the world's biggest hard disk makers were predicting not that long ago? Here's an explanation.

"The March quarter in the hard drive industry was impacted by 2 significant developments - the delayed supply of industry CPUs to PC makers and the tragic events in Japan," said John Coyne, president and CEO. "While demand for hard drives in the quarter got off to a slow start, it later picked up as availability of CPUs improved and as fears took hold of component shortages related to the events in Japan."


Recovering Data from Flooded Hard Drives

Editor:- March 13, 2011 - it's with great sadness and regret that I have to report that the article Recovering Data from Drowned / Flooded Hard Drives - which includes useful tips for protecting disks even before you send then to data recovery companies - has become popular in the past few days.

The Japanese people have shown a level of discipline, organization and courageous response to their recent disasters which the rest of the civilized world can only view with admiration.


Link_A_Media sues Marvell re HDD data integrity IP

Editor:- February 16, 2011 - Link_A_Media Devices has filed a lawsuit against Marvell asserting that Marvell has infringed on Link_A_Media's U.S. Patent No. 7,590,927 ("Soft Output Viterbi Detector With Error Event Output").

In the complaint, Marvell is accused of willfully and deliberately manufacturing and selling read channel products for storage devices that infringe the '927 Patent. Link_A_Media is seeking monetary damages and an injunction to stop Marvell from continued infringement of the company's patent.

Link_A_Media 's CEO, Hemant K. Thaparcommented that, "Link_A_Media's pioneering work enables manufacturers of hard disk drives to increase the storage density of mobile storage devices and to lower manufacturing costs for these products. We intend to enforce and defend the intellectual property on our work to ensure that Link_A_Media's inventions are not unfairly exploited."


the future of data storage in the Google / online tv economy

Editor:- January 25, 2011 - the future of data storage is the lofty sounding but aptly chosen title of a new article published in the January issue of Broadcast Engineering magazine.

It gives a clear idea of where the incremental changes you read about in storage news (about SSDs, HDDs, DAS vs SAN etc) will end up. ...read the article


Seagate's HDD vs SSD paper is Nuts

Editor:- January 24, 2011 - Seagate has published a point of view document (pdf) which apparently shows that the role of hard disks is unassailable in the notebook market - no matter what happens in the next few years with SSDs.

It implies the SSD market will stay small.

I discuss the implications of this in an article which shows the flaws in Seagate's analysis of SSD market size constraints.
................................................................................................
other HDD news
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"Chips talk better to chips instead of through bunches of wires and protocols connected to motors"
...Steve Wozniak in the video - today's SF - tomorrow's science fact
.
Could terabyte HDDs be given away free?
They may be expensive now...

... but I think giving terabyte hard drives away free could one day be a really good business strategy to prolong the life of the HDD market and to deal with what will be unbeatable price / performance challenges posed by future SSDs.
click to read the article - why terabyte hard drives could be given away free Wonder why the HDD give-away will be such a great idea?... ...read the article
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WD SiliconDrive N1x  for mission-critical applications mandating high performance, high reliability, and high endurance - click for more info
2.5" SLC embedded SiliconDrives
from Western Digital
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How many disks does it take to store a disk-full of data?
Sometimes you can learn something useful by asking a silly question which initially seem to have a trivial and obvious answer.
Spellabyte is counting storage drives - click to read the article How many disks does it take to store a disk-full of data? ...And where do the SSDs creep in?

They always seem to sneak into my articles somewhere... You don't need a calculator or spreadsheet for this one. ...read the article
.
How long do hard drives really last?

That question was answered in this classic study by Google - Failure Trends in a Large Disk Drive Population (pdf) - which looked at a population of 100,000 HDDs.

And if that interests you - you can see a list of similar articles on our storage reliability page.

Reliability is one of the few true green storage technologies.
.
Nibble - Re: Hard Disk Drives......
IBM invented disk storage and shipped the first HDD in 1956.

With a 24" diameter it stored 5M bytes.

Until the late 1990s hard drives were commonly called "Winchester" drives - named after the city where the original hard disk designers were based.

Hard disks use magnetic recording media on one or more spinning disks (also called platters). That's where the magnet allusion in our HDD Megabyte image comes from.

A read write head moves in a straight line along one half of the platter similar in concept to (pre CD era) linear audio (vinyl) record players.

The seek / access time of the disk is determined by the rotation speed. That can take as long as 1 complete revolution of the disk.

The hard disk capacity depends on how many platters there are, whether data is on both sides, how big they are (diameter) and the current state of the art regarding megabytes stored per inch.

The throughput of the disk depends on the spin speed, recording density and where the head is on the surface of the disk. On the outer edge the data throughput is higher than on the inner edge. Drives with multiple heads and platters can deliver more throughput - but the added mechanical complexity and heat reduces reliability.

Over 90% of the disk drive manufacturers which existed in the 1990's have gone bust, or merged , or have been acquired by other disk companies.

The number of HDD oems shrank to a low point at the turn of the millenium, and overall HDD market revenue was on a downward slide for many years. That's because the cost of an average hard drive was reducing at a faster rate than the growth of drive shipments. Improved technology and competition was shrinking the value of the industry.

But since about 2004 new high growth markets have emerged for HDDs (both inside and outside the traditional PC and server markets) which reversed the revenue slide.

The prospects of multi-billion dollar segments with double digit revenue growth within the hard disk market has attracted new entrants and new competition from products like solid state disks and hybrid drives.

In 2008 the worldwide hard disk market revenue grew to over $35 billion.

In 2008 the highest capacity shipping drives were:-
  • 3.5" - 1.5TB - from Seagate
  • 2.5" - 500GB - from various oems
  • 1.8" - 250GB - from Toshiba
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Sanitization Methods for Cleaning Up Hard Disk Drives

Removing the data on old unwanted disk drives has become a concern for all users.

Pointsec found that they were able to read 7 out of 10 hard-drives bought over the Internet at auctions such as eBay, for less than the cost of a McDonald's meal, all of which had "supposedly" been "wiped-clean" or "re-formatted".

This article by Intelligent Computer Solutions reviews the various methods available to sanitize hard disks along with the advantages and disadvantages in each case....read the article, disk sanitizers
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Flash Memory vs. Hard Disk Drives - Which Will Win?

There's a confusing picture in many consumer products like phones, cameras and music players in which one day it seems that the storage function is done by flash and next day another company announces they're doing the same thing with miniature hard disks.

Is there any sense to this seemingly random choice?

This article by Semico Research uses pricing trends, technology trends and unique market analysis insights to show that users and oems may be able to reliably predict which storage devices will be most cost effective depending where you are on the future history curve. ...read the article, Hard disk drives, Flash Memory, Market research, Solid state disks
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Hitachi Celebrates 50 Years of Hard Disks

In April 2006 - Hitachi published some historic reminiscences and market data to celebrate 50 years of the hard disk drive market.

Hitachi holds the privilege of preserving the legacy and upholding the innovation heritage of the hard drive, having acquired the IBM hard drive business in 2003. IBM invented the hard drive in San Jose, California and brought it to market in 1956 as the RAMAC (Random Access Method of Accounting and Control).
  • Over the past 50 years, areal density - the measurement of how many data bits can be stored on an inch of disk space - has increased 50 million times.
  • RAMAC, the first hard drive - delivered on September 13, 1956 - stored 5 megabytes of data. Today, the highest-capacity hard drive holds 500 gigabytes.
  • In 1956, the RAMAC cost $50,000 or $10,000 per megabyte. Today, a gigabyte of storage on a 3.5-inch hard drive can cost less than 50 cents.
  • Today, 92% of all new data created reside on magnetic media, primarily hard drives.
The demand for hard drives is expected to increase multiple-fold. In a recent paper, the University of California at Berkeley projected the worldwide data stored on magnetic media to be 99.5 exabytes in 2005, as compared to 7 exabytes in 2000. (An Exabyte = 1,024 x 1,024 x 1,024 x Gigabytes = just over 1 billion Gigabytes. - from Megabyte's Storage Dictionary)

Today Hitachi also announced two new 3.5" hard drives. The Deskstar T7K500 and Deskstar 7K160 feature 7,200 RPM spin speeds and 3Gb/s SATA interfaces for high-performance PCs, gaming systems and low duty cycle servers. The new drives use 160GB+ per platter technology to deliver up to 500GB of storage capacity in a one-, two- and three-disk design. ...Hitachi profile, storage history

See also:-
- article:- Hard Disks - on Wikipedia®

timeline:- 5 Decades of Disk Drive Industry Firsts - on DISK/TREND

Hard Drisk Market Chronicle - Upto 1997

Hard disk reviews (1998 to 2001) - on StorageReview.com
2.5" HDDs more recoverable than 3.5"
Editor:- Did you know that 2.5" hard drives are more recoverable than 3.5" drives? - I didn't.

A blog written by David Foster, General Manager of Memofix revealed this curious fact and explained why it's not the other way round. You'd expect that so called "enterprise" 3.5" HDDs would be better.

It doesn't matter most of the time because in the enterprise data is protected against small numbers of hard drive failures by RAID and backup.
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Did encryption kill the sanitizer market?
Editor:- Self-Encrypting HDDs for Servers (pdf) - is a white paper by Seagate which makes good reading for those interested in server disk security.

It's easy to be wise after the event - but I see now that the rapid industry take up of FDE (full disk encryption) may have been a factor in capping the size of the disk sanitizers market. I thought that market would be a lot bigger by now.
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The Perils of Early Hard Drives

Editor:- there were a great many stories published in 2006 related to the 50th anniversary of the hard disk drive.

But here's one with a different spin - about the dangers posed by early mass storage devices. It came from my brother in law Peter Downes.

"In 1964 I was a programmer / operator at Pilkington Glass in St Helens. At that time Pilkington had one of the largest commercial computer installations in the UK. It included ICT computers, countless card punches and readers, Ampex tape drives, and, I think, CDC disk drives.

"One night in the main computer room I witnessed the internal cylinder of a hard drive break out of its cabinet. It was several feet in diameter and spinning at high speed.

It bounced when it hit the floor, then as if deciding which way to go, it hovered and raced through the glass partition, and sped along until it hit the solid wall of the building at which point it exploded. The computer room was sprayed with glass, but luckily it was safety glass and I wasn't hurt.

I couldn't help thinking that if it had come for me it would have killed me. One thing I'm not sure about is why it bounced when it first hit the floor and only exploded when it hit the concrete wall. There was a lot of energy in the cylinder - and it had a horizontal spindle."

Storage History
Al Shugart - father of the hard drive.
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